12 Oct TIME FOR A STRONGER DOLLAR?
The U.S. dollar has lagged other currencies so far this year, as persistently low inflation suggested that the Federal Reserve (Fed) would not be as aggressive as global investors originally feared. However, recent Fed announcements — including an official start to long-awaited balance sheet normalization, as well as a refusal to back away from a potential rate hike in December — have caused market participants to reexamine the dovish Fed thesis, which has led to a stronger dollar over the past month. So, where does the dollar go from here? We believe that the combination of fundamental factors, such as disparities in major central bank policies and technical indicators, could lead to dollar strength in the near term.
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